Abbr

M&A - Mergers and Acquisitions

GAAP - Generally Accepted Accounting Principles, 是指一套在美国使用的会计原则、标准和惯例。它是由财务会计准则委员会(FASB)制定,并经美国证券交易委员会(SEC)认可的一系列规则。GAAP 的核心目标是确保企业在编制财务报告时采用一致的方法。这样,不同公司之间的财务报表才能具有可比性,投资者和债权人可以更轻松地评估和比较它们的财务状况。

EBITDA - Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization,中文译为“息税折旧摊销前利润”。它是一种衡量公司盈利能力的指标,通过从公司的净利润中加回利息支出、所得税费用、折旧费用和摊销费用来计算得出。EBITDA剔除了利息、税收、折旧和摊销等非经营性因素的影响,更专注于评估公司在主营业务上的盈利能力。这使得EBITDA在不同国家、不同税收政策和不同资本结构的公司之间具有更好的可比性。

  1. EBITDA = 净利润 + 利息支出 + 所得税费用 + 折旧费用 + 摊销费用
    起点: 从“净利润”开始。净利润是公司扣除了所有成本、费用、利息和税收后的最终利润。
    逐步加回:
    “利息支出”:EBITDA想要关注的是经营层面的盈利能力,而利息支出和公司的融资方式有关,不是经营活动本身产生的,所以要加回去。
    “所得税费用”:税收政策不同会对净利润产生影响,同样不是经营层面的问题,所以要加回去。
    “折旧费用”和“摊销费用”:这两者是非现金费用,反映了资产价值的减少,但并不涉及实际现金流出。EBITDA想看的是经营产生的现金能力,所以也要加回去。
    结果: 通过将这些项目从净利润中加回,我们可以得到一个更接近公司经营活动本身所产生利润的数字。

  2. EBITDA = 营业利润 + 折旧费用 + 摊销费用
    起点: 从“营业利润”开始。营业利润是公司扣除了生产成本和运营费用后的利润,也就是经营活动产生的利润。
    逐步加回:
    “折旧费用”和“摊销费用”:和上面第一种情况一样,这两者都是非现金费用,EBITDA需要加回。
    结果: 这种方式直接从营业利润开始,只需要加回折旧和摊销,更简洁一些。

  3. EBITDA = 毛利润 - 营业费用 (不包括折旧和摊销)
    起点: 从“毛利润”开始。毛利润是销售收入减去生产成本(COGS)后的利润,也就是销售产品或提供服务的直接利润。
    计算过程:
    “营业费用”:包括销售费用、管理费用等。但需要明确的是,这里特别指出“不包括折旧和摊销”。
    “毛利润 - 营业费用(不包括折旧和摊销)”:实际上就是得到营业利润,因为营业利润=毛利润-营业费用。
    结果: 所以这个公式本质上和第二个公式相同,都是营业利润加上折旧和摊销,只是换了一种表达方式。

为什么会有不同的表达方式?
方便不同角度分析: 从净利润出发,可以更全面地看到所有因素的影响。从营业利润或毛利润出发,可以更直接地聚焦于经营活动。
公司披露的习惯: 有些公司可能更习惯披露营业利润,有些可能更侧重净利润。不同的公式只是适应了不同的披露习惯。
理解的角度: 从净利润开始理解EBITDA,更容易明白为什么要“加回”一些项目。从营业利润开始,更直观地看到经营层面的盈利能力。
总结

这三个公式只是计算EBITDA的不同方法,它们都代表了“息税折旧摊销前利润”。选择哪一个公式,取决于你手头的数据和想从哪个角度去理解。但无论选择哪个,最终计算出的EBITDA结果应该是基本一致的。

Quality of Earnings (QoE, 盈利质量) 是什么?

QoE 是指一家公司财务报告的准确性和真实性,以及其利润的可持续性。高质量的盈利意味着利润是由可持续的经营活动产生的,并且财务报表真实反映了公司的财务状况。QoE 分析旨在发现可能扭曲或隐藏公司真实财务状况的因素。

GAAP、EBITDA 和 Cash Flow 如何影响 QoE?

GAAP 与 QoE 的关系

GAAP 是基础,但不够全面: GAAP 确保财务报表的一致性和可比性,但它并不能保证盈利的质量。公司可以严格遵守 GAAP,但仍然通过某些会计技巧或选择来掩盖其真实的财务状况。

QoE 超越 GAAP: QoE 分析师会深入研究 GAAP 报告的细节,以发现可能影响盈利质量的项目。他们会寻找一次性收入、异常费用、会计政策变更等,这些都可能扭曲 GAAP 报告的利润。

GAAP 合规性是前提: 任何 QoE 分析都假定公司符合 GAAP。如果一家公司不遵守 GAAP,那么其财务报表的质量就存在根本性的问题。

EBITDA 与 QoE 的关系

EBITDA 可以被 “调整”: EBITDA 是一个常用的盈利指标,但它容易被管理层 “调整”。公司可能会将某些费用从 EBITDA 中剔除,以使其看起来更好。

QoE 评估 EBITDA 的真实性: QoE 分析师会仔细检查 EBITDA 的计算,判断调整是否合理,是否反映了公司的真实经营状况。他们会关注那些非经常性的或一次性的调整。

EBITDA 不是现金流: EBITDA 没有考虑营运资本的变化、资本支出等重要因素。因此,即使 EBITDA 很高,公司的现金流可能并不好。QoE 分析师会将 EBITDA 与现金流结合起来分析,以了解利润的质量。

Cash Flow 与 QoE 的关系

现金流是关键: 现金流比利润更能反映公司的真实财务状况。高质量的盈利应该能产生健康的现金流。

QoE 关注现金流的质量: QoE 分析师会评估现金流的来源。经营活动产生的现金流是最重要的,它反映了公司核心业务的盈利能力。投资活动和筹资活动的现金流可能受到一次性事件的影响。

现金流支持 EBITDA 的分析: 通过分析现金流量表,QoE 分析师可以验证 EBITDA 的真实性。如果 EBITDA 很高,但经营活动现金流很低,这可能表明利润质量存在问题。

总结

GAAP 是基础: GAAP 提供了会计准则,确保财务报表的一致性。

EBITDA 是盈利的近似指标: EBITDA 剔除了某些影响,可以近似反映经营活动的盈利能力。

Cash Flow 是现金的真实流动: 现金流量表提供了更全面的现金流信息。

QoE 评估盈利的质量: QoE 分析师会深入研究 GAAP 报告、EBITDA 和 Cash Flow,以判断利润是否可持续,是否真实反映了公司的财务状况。

QoE 分析师的工作

QofE

QofE关注下面几个基于CAAP的调整

1 Discretionary expenses
2 Unusual and nonrecurring items of revenue and expense
3 Timing / accounting policy adjustments
4 Major customer wins and losses
5 M&A run rate adjustments

Discretionary expenses

在“可自由支配费用”部分,讨论了私人企业主有时将商业和个人费用混合的情况。这些费用可能与业主的生活方式有关,如汽车、飞机和度假物业等,可能会影响企业的历史收益。质量收益报告应识别并记录这些费用,以便更准确地反映企业的真实盈利能力。例如,某家族企业的名义销售经理并未实际工作,去除其薪酬后,能够更清晰地展示企业的盈利潜力。

Adjusted for Discretionary Expenses Reported Discretionary Expenses Adjusted Explanation
Net revenue $249,253 $0 $249,253 No adjustments made; reflects total revenue generated.
 Cost of goods sold 129,972 $0 129,972 No adjustments made; reflects total cost of goods sold.
Gross profit 119,281 $0 119,281 No adjustments made; calculated as net revenue minus cost of goods sold.
  Selling expenses 34,222 (1,500) 32,722 Adjusted by removing $1,500 in discretionary expenses related to non-essential personnel.
  Research & development expenses 2,733 $0 2,733 No adjustments made; reflects total R&D expenses incurred.
  General & administrative expenses 62,582 $0 62,582 No adjustments made; reflects total G&A expenses incurred.
 Operating expenses 99,538 (1,500) 98,038 Adjusted by removing discretionary expenses, leading to a more accurate operating cost.
Operating income / EBIT 19,744 $1,500 21,244 Increased due to adjustments for discretionary expenses, reflecting true earning power.
 Depreciation 5,132 $0 5,132 No adjustments made; reflects total depreciation expense.
 Amortization 1,094 $0 1,094 No adjustments made; reflects total amortization expense.
EBITDA 25,970 $1,500 27,470 Increased due to adjustments for discretionary expenses, indicating improved earning capacity.
 EBITDA margin 10.4% nm 11.0% Improved margin reflects the impact of adjustments on EBITDA relative to net revenue.

Unusual and Nonrecurring Items of Revenue and Expense

“非正常和非经常性收入与费用”指的是那些不属于公司日常经营活动的收入和支出。这些项目通常是偶发性的,不会在公司的正常运营中频繁出现。

总之,这些收入和费用并不能反映公司的持续盈利能力,因此在进行财务分析时,需要将它们从净利润中剔除,以更准确地评估公司的实际经营表现。

Adjusted for Discretionary Expenses Unusual or Nonrecurring Items Adjusted for Unusual or Nonrecurring Explanation
Net revenue $249,253 $0 $249,253 Total revenue remains unchanged as it reflects ongoing business operations.
 Cost of goods sold 129,972 (10,000) 119,972 Removal of a nonrecurring inventory write-off enhances gross profit.
Gross profit $119,281 $10,000 $129,281 Adjusted gross profit reflects true earning potential without distortions.
   Selling expenses 32,722 0 32,722 Selling expenses remain unchanged, indicating stable operational costs.
   Research& development expenses 2,733 0 2,733 R&D expenses are consistent, reflecting ongoing investment in innovation.
   General & administrative expenses 62,582 0 62,582 G&A expenses are stable, indicating effective management of overhead costs.
 Operating expenses 98,038 0 98,038 Total operating expenses remain unchanged, reflecting operational efficiency.
Operating income/EBIT $21,244 $10,000 $31,244 Adjusted EBIT shows improved profitability after removing nonrecurring items.
 Depreciation 5,132 0 5,132 Depreciation remains unchanged, reflecting consistent asset usage.
 Amortization 1,094 0 1,094 Amortization remains stable, indicating no changes in intangible assets.
EBITDA $27,470 $10,000 $37,470 Adjusted EBITDA reflects enhanced earning power after adjustments.
 EBITDA margin 11.0% nm 15.0% Improved margin indicates better profitability post-adjustments.

Timing / Accounting Policy Adjustments

LIFO(后进先出)和FIFO(先进先出)是两种不同的库存计价方法。

用玩具举例:如果你今天以高价买了一个玩具,但按照FIFO的方法记录为之前以低价买过的一件,那么这就会让人觉得你的支出比实际支付少,从而影响盈利表现!

Adjusted for Unusual or Nonrecurring Accounting Policy / Timing Adjusted for Acctg Policy / Timing Explanation
Net revenue $249,253 $0 $249,253 Total revenue generated from sales before any adjustments
  Cost of goods sold 119,972 1,236 121,208 Direct costs attributable to the production of goods sold by the company. The adjustment reflects unusual expenses related to inventory accounting methods
Gross profit $129,281 ($1,236) $128,045 Revenue remaining after deducting COGS; indicates profitability from core operations before other expenses are considered.
  Selling expenses 32,722 0 32,722 Costs associated with selling products and services such as marketing and sales staff salaries.
  Research & development expenses 2,733 0 2,733 Expenses incurred in developing new products or improving existing ones.
  General & administrative expenses 62,582 0 62,582 General overhead costs not directly tied to production or sales activities.
  Operating expenses 98,038 0 98,038 Total operating costs including selling and G&A that are necessary for running day-to-day business operations.
Operating income/EBIT $31,244 ($1,236) $30,008 Earnings before interest and taxes indicate operational efficiency after covering all operating expenditures.
 Depreciation 5,132 0 5,132 Non-cash expense reflecting wear-and-tear on fixed assets over time.
 Amortization 1,094 0 1,094 Non-cash expense representing gradual write-off of intangible assets like patents over their useful life
EBITDA $37,470 ($1,236) $36,234 Earnings Before Interest Taxes Depreciation Amortization shows a company's overall financial performance excluding non-operating factors
 EBITDAmargin 15.0% nm 14.5% Percentage measure indicating EBITDA relative to total revenues showing operational profitability.

Major customer wins and losses

企业在客户基础上可能会经历的“流失”现象,特别是对于那些客户集中度较高的企业来说,增加或失去重要客户可能需要在质量收益分析(QofE)中进行调整。为了支持这些调整,QofE报告应包括对历史客户流失情况的详细分析。这种分析可以通过总结顾客数量和收入变化来呈现,从而帮助理解业务表现是否需要做出改变以保持良好发展。

Customer Count Revenue Customer Average Explanation
Prior Year Total 673 $225,634 $335 This represents the total number of customers and revenue in the prior year. The average revenue per customer is calculated by dividing total revenue by customer count.
 less: Lost customers (72) (7,436) 103 This shows the number of customers lost from the prior year and the corresponding revenue lost.
 plus:Retained customers (increase) 488 15,992 33 These are retained customers who increased their spending compared to last year, contributing positively to overall growth with an aggregate increase of $15,992 in revenue from these accounts.
 less:Retained customers (decrease) 113 (3,167) (28) These are retained accounts that decreased their spending compared to last year resulting in a loss of $3,167 in total revenues.
 plus: New customers 180 18,230 101 Newly acquired clients added during this period contributed significantly but had lower average revenues than existing ones due to being new entrants into the company's portfolio.
Current Year Total 781 $249,253 $319 This reflects all active customer counts and associated revenues for the current fiscal period after accounting for losses and gains throughout.
 Lost customers / beginning total -10.7% -3.3% This percentage indicates how much lost business impacted both customer count and overall sales relative to previous totals.
 Revenue growth (increasing retained) 9.4% The positive change shows that most returning clients spent more money on products or services this past year as opposed to before. The 9.4% requires inferring prior-year revenue for the specific subset of retained customers (not visible in the table). Prior-year revenue for these 488 customers = $15,992 (increase) / 9.4% ≈ $170,127.
 Revenue growth (decreasing retained) -6.6% Indicates a decline caused primarily by those few remaining client relationships which saw reduced purchases over time despite some increases elsewhere within other segments . The overall prior-year average ($335) includes all customers (including those who left or increased spending). Lost customers had a much lower prior-year average ($103), dragging down the overall average. Retained customers who decreased spending likely had higher-than-average prior-year spending ($424.78 vs. $335) ($3167/0.066/113=424.78).
 Y/Y change (excluding new customers) -10.7% 2.4% 14.7% This row shows the year-over-year change without the impact of new customers. (249253-225634)/(781-180)=384.40, 14.7%=(384.40 - 335)/335
 Net Y/Y change 16.0% 10.5% -4.8% This shows the overall net year-over-year change including new customers. 249253/781=319.15, -4.8% = (319.15-335)/335

M&A run rate adjustments

当公司进行收购时,财务报表中只会从收购完成日开始计算被收购公司的业绩;同样地,如果公司出售部分业务,则在出售日期之前的业绩才会被计入。因此,在收购或出售发生的年份,其财务报告可能无法真实反映整个业务的运营状况。

Adjusted for Acctg(accounting) Policy / Timing (为了匹配收购方会计政策或调整时间差而做出的调整) Pre-Closing Earnings of Acquiree (被收购公司在被收购完成之前的一段时间内的财务业绩) Pro Forma Run Rate Earnings (如果收购已经完成,并且所有调整都已生效,合并后的公司在未来一段时间内的预期盈利水平) Explanation
Net revenue $249,253 $39,724 $288,977 The total revenue generated from sales, reflecting the income from business activities.
  Cost of goods sold 121,208 16,679 137,887 The direct costs attributable to the production of the goods sold by a company. This includes materials and direct labor costs.
Gross profit $128,045 $23,045 $151,090 Revenue minus COGS. It indicates the profitability after accounting for the direct costs of production.
  Selling expenses 32,722 7,428 40,150 Costs related to selling the company's products or services, such as marketing and sales salaries.
  Research & development expenses 2,733 0 2,733 Costs associated with the company's research and development efforts.
  General & administrative expenses 62,582 8,964 71,546 Costs related to the overall operation of a business, such as administrative salaries and office expenses.
 Operating expenses 98,038 16,392 114,430 The sum of selling, R&D, and G&A expenses. These are costs incurred in the ordinary course of business.
Operating income/EBIT $30,008 $6,653 $36,661 Profit after deducting operating expenses from gross profit. It measures the company's operating efficiency.
  Depreciation 5,132 622 5,754 The accounting method of allocating the cost of tangible assets over their useful life.
  Amortization 1,094 0 1,094 The accounting method of allocating the cost of intangible assets over their useful life.
EBITDA $36,234 $7,275 $43,509 A measure of a company's operating performance. It's EBIT plus depreciation and amortization.
  EBITDAmargin 14.5% 18.3% 15.1% EBITDA as a percentage of net revenue, indicating the company's operational efficiency.

EBITDA and Cash Flow

EBITDA(息税折旧摊销前利润)是盈利质量(QofE)报告中买卖双方关注的核心盈利指标,原因有二:

  1. 最广泛的收益和现金流衡量标准: EBITDA被视为衡量公司可用于各种目的的现金流的代表。

  2. 增强公司间可比性: EBITDA通过剔除公司组织结构、融资方式和会计处理上的差异,使不同公司间的经营业绩更具可比性。具体来说,它消除了以下因素的影响:

然而,并非所有EBITDA都同等有价值。尽管利息支付、税收、债务偿还和所有者分配是买方可自由决定的事项,不影响EBITDA的内在价值,但资本投资(包括资本支出和增量营运资本)确实会影响EBITDA的价值。对资本需求大的企业,其每单位EBITDA产生的现金流低于资本需求小的企业,因此其EBITDA价值较低。因此,一份全面的盈利质量报告不应止步于EBITDA,还应分析这些必要的资本投资。

资本支出

资本支出对于维持公司的生产能力至关重要。广义上,资本支出可分为两类:维持现有产能的支出(即维护性支出)和增加新产能的支出(增长性支出)。对于资本密集型企业,一份全面的盈利质量报告应该区分这两类支出。

当无法进行更精确的细分时,折旧费用通常可以作为维护性支出的一个近似衡量指标。

在固定资产的会计处理中,"Gross" (总额/原值), "A/D" (Accumulated Depreciation, 累计折旧), 和 "Net" (净值) 是三个核心概念,它们共同构成了资产负债表上固定资产的列报方式。

1. Gross (总额 / 原值)

2. A/D (Accumulated Depreciation / 累计折旧)

3. Net (净值 / 账面净值)

总结差异:

特征 Gross (总额 / 原值) A/D (累计折旧) Net (净值 / 账面净值)
含义 资产的原始购买/建造成本 资产自使用以来所有已计提折旧的累积总额 资产原始成本减去累计折旧后的余额
在报表上 增加资产价值 减少资产价值(备抵账户) 最终列报在资产负债表上的资产金额
变化趋势 通常固定不变(除非增添或处置) 逐年增加(除非有资产处置等特殊情况) 逐年减少(除非有重大资本支出或资产处置)
代表意义 初始投资规模 已消耗的资产价值 资产在当前账面上的剩余价值

理解这三者之间的关系对于分析公司固定资产的状况、投资策略和经营效率至关重要。

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Cumulative Explanation
Beginning balance - gross $101,706 $121,654 $153,653 $171,019 $236,959 $101,706 Represents the initial cost of all property, plant, and equipment (PP&E) at the start of each year, before accounting for accumulated depreciation. The cumulative is the initial starting balance for the entire period.
  plus:Capital expenditures 20,860 32,077 15,566 56,121 45,929 170,553 Funds spent to acquire or upgrade long-term assets (PP&E) during the year. The cumulative total represents the total capital expenditures over the five years.
  plus/less:Other,net (912) (78) 1,800 9,819 (22,279) (11,650) This line captures various other adjustments to the gross asset balance, such as asset disposals (removals from the books), reclassifications, or foreign currency translation adjustments. A negative value indicates a net reduction in gross assets from these other factors. The cumulative is the net sum of these adjustments over the period.
Ending balance - gross $121,654 $153,653 $171,019 $236,959 $260,609 $260,609 The total original cost of all PP&E at the end of each year. This is calculated as Beginning balance - gross + Capital expenditures + Other, net. The cumulative value is the final ending balance for the entire period.
Beginning balance -A/D $27,923 $47,557 $71,043 $92,944 $117,915 $27,923 The accumulated depreciation on all assets at the start of each year. This represents the total depreciation expense recognized since the assets were acquired. The cumulative is the initial starting accumulated depreciation.
  plus:Depreciation 19,573 23,197 24,616 25,732 32,889 126,007 The amount of depreciation expense recognized during the current year, reflecting the portion of the asset's cost allocated to that period. The cumulative is the total depreciation expense recognized over the five years.
  plus/less:Other,net 61 289 (2,715) (761) (14,782) (17,908) Other adjustments to accumulated depreciation, such as the accumulated depreciation related to assets that were disposed of during the year. A negative value indicates a reduction in accumulated depreciation, typically due to asset disposals. The cumulative is the net sum of these adjustments over the period.
Ending balance - A/D $47,557 $71,043 $92,944 $117,915 $136,022 $136,022 The total accumulated depreciation at the end of each year. This is calculated as Beginning balance - A/D + Depreciation + Other, net. The cumulative value is the final ending accumulated depreciation for the entire period.
Beginning balance -net $73,783 $74,097 $82,610 $78,075 $119,044 $73,783 The net book value (or carrying value) of PP&E at the start of each year (Gross Assets - Accumulated Depreciation). The cumulative is the initial starting net book value.
  plus: Capital expenditures 20,860 32,077 15,566 56,121 45,929 170,553 Same as above: funds spent on acquiring or improving long-term assets. This shows how capital expenditures directly increase the net book value of assets.
  less:Depreciation (19,573) (23,197) (24,616) (25,732) (32,889) (126,007) Same as above: the depreciation expense for the year. This shows how depreciation directly reduces the net book value of assets.
  plus/less:Other,net (973) (367) 4,515 10,580 (7,497) 6,258 This line represents the net impact of "Other, net" from both the gross asset and accumulated depreciation sections on the net book value. It's calculated as (Other,net from gross assets - Other,net from A/D). The cumulative is the net sum of these adjustments over the period.
Ending balance - net $74,097 $82,610 $78,075 $119,044 $124,587 $124,587 The net book value of PP&E at the end of each year. This is calculated as Beginning balance - net + Capital expenditures - Depreciation + Other, net. The cumulative value is the final ending net book value for the entire period.
Revenue $778,833 $913,734 $1,091,721 $1,410,989 $1,595,222 $5,790,499 The total sales generated by the company during the year. The cumulative is the total revenue generated over the five years.
  Capex/Revenue 2.7% 3.5% 1.4% 4.0% 2.9% 2.9% This ratio indicates what percentage of revenue is being reinvested into capital expenditures. A higher percentage suggests more investment in productive assets, potentially for growth or significant maintenance. The cumulative average is the total capex divided by total revenue for the period.
  Depreciation/Revenue 2.5% 2.5% 2.3% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% This ratio shows depreciation expense as a percentage of revenue, indicating the relative wear and tear or obsolescence cost per dollar of revenue. The cumulative average is total depreciation divided by total revenue for the period.
  Net book value /Revenue 9.5% 9.0% 7.2% 8.4% 7.8% This ratio measures the company's asset intensity, showing how many dollars of net assets are required to generate one dollar of revenue. A lower percentage might indicate more efficient asset utilization.
  Depreciation /Beg bal (gross) 19.2% 19.1% 16.0% 15.0% 13.9% This ratio indicates the annual depreciation rate relative to the original cost of assets at the beginning of the year. A higher percentage might suggest a faster depreciation method or older asset base.
  Accum depr as % of gross 39% 46% 54% 50% 52% This ratio shows the proportion of the original cost of assets that has already been expensed through depreciation. A higher percentage indicates that the asset base is older or more fully depreciated.

表格中关于“Revenue”的几行:

这些行本身不是“算”出来的,而是对总收入以及基于总收入计算出的比率

具体到2018年:

  1. Revenue (收入): $778,833

    • 这个 $778,833 就是公司在2018财年所实现的总收入。它是一个直接的财务数据,通常来自于公司的损益表。
  2. Capex/Revenue (资本支出/收入): 2.7%

    • 这个比例是根据2018年的资本支出和2018年的收入计算得出的。
    • 计算方法:(2018年资本支出 / 2018年收入) * 100%
    • 从表格中可以找到:
      • 2018年资本支出 = $20,860
      • 2018年收入 = $778,833
    • 所以,(20,860 / 778,833) * 100% ≈ 2.678%,四舍五入或取两位小数后得到 2.7%
  3. Depreciation/Revenue (折旧/收入): 2.5%

    • 这个比例是根据2018年的折旧费用和2018年的收入计算得出的。
    • 计算方法:(2018年折旧 / 2018年收入) * 100%
    • 从表格中可以找到:
      • 2018年折旧 = $19,573
      • 2018年收入 = $778,833
    • 所以,(19,573 / 778,833) * 100% ≈ 2.513%,四舍五入或取两位小数后得到 2.5%
  4. Net book value /Revenue (账面净值/收入): 9.5%

    • 这个比例是根据2018年期末的净值和2018年的收入计算得出的。
    • 计算方法:(2018年期末净值 / 2018年收入) * 100%
    • 从表格中可以找到:
      • 2018年期末净值 = $74,097
      • 2018年收入 = $778,833
    • 所以,(74,097 / 778,833) * 100% ≈ 9.514%,四舍五入或取两位小数后得到 9.5%
  5. Depreciation /Beg bal (gross) (折旧/期初总值): 19.2%

    • 这个比例是根据2018年的折旧费用和2018年期初的总值计算得出的。
    • 计算方法:(2018年折旧 / 2018年期初总值) * 100%
    • 从表格中可以找到:
      • 2018年折旧 = $19,573
      • 2018年期初总值 = $101,706
    • 所以,(19,573 / 101,706) * 100% ≈ 19.245%,四舍五入或取一位小数后得到 19.2%
  6. Accum depr as % of gross (累计折旧占总值百分比): 39%

    • 这个比例是根据2018年期末的累计折旧和2018年期末的总值计算得出的。
    • 计算方法:(2018年期末累计折旧 / 2018年期末总值) * 100%
    • 从表格中可以找到:
      • 2018年期末累计折旧 = $47,557
      • 2018年期末总值 = $121,654
    • 所以,(47,557 / 121,654) * 100% ≈ 39.091%,四舍五入或取整后得到 39%

简而言之,表格中的“Revenue”行表示的是公司的总收入,而其下方的几行则是基于收入或总值等其他数据计算出的相关比率,用来衡量效率或资产结构。

如何从您提供的表格中分析资本支出 (Capital Expenditures):

  1. 资本支出的波动性与长期累计分析:

    • “Since capital expenditures are often lumpy, it can prove helpful to consider cumulative measure over longer periods of time.” (由于资本支出通常具有不规律性/不平均性,考虑更长时间段内的累计数据会很有帮助。)
      • 解释: 资本支出不是每年都均匀发生的。公司可能在某一年进行大量投资(例如建设新工厂或购买昂贵设备),而在其他年份则投资较少。因此,仅仅看某一年的数据可能会误导。
    • “For the subject company in this example, five year aggregate capital expenditures represented 2.9% of cumulative revenue.” (对于本例中的目标公司,五年累计资本支出占累计收入的2.9%。)
      • 解释: 这句话应用了上述原则。它将五年间所有的资本支出加起来,然后与这五年间所有的总收入进行比较。2.9% 这个比率(就是您表格中的 "Capex/Revenue" 的 "Cumulative" 值)表明,在五年内,公司每获得100美元的收入,大约有2.9美元被重新投入到资本支出中,以维持或扩大其生产能力。这个累计比率比单独看每年的比率(2.7%, 3.5%, 1.4%, 4.0%, 2.9%)更能反映公司在长期内的投资强度。
  2. 折旧与资本支出的关系:

    • “For the same period, depreciation charges were equal to approximately 74% of capital expenditures, suggesting material growth expenditures.” (同期,折旧费用约等于资本支出的74%,这表明存在大量的增长性支出。)
      • 解释: 这句话对比了五年累计的折旧费用和五年累计的资本支出。
        • 在您的表格中:
          • 五年累计折旧 (Cumulative Depreciation) = $126,007
          • 五年累计资本支出 (Cumulative Capital expenditures) = $170,553
        • 计算:$126,007 / $170,553 ≈ 0.739 或 73.9%,约等于 74%
      • 为什么这暗示“大量的增长性支出”?
        • 我们知道资本支出可以分为维护性支出(为了维持现有产能)和增长性支出(为了扩大产能)。
        • 理论上,折旧费用大致可以被视为维持性资本支出的近似替代。因为折旧反映的是现有资产的损耗,这些损耗最终需要通过维护性支出进行弥补或替换。
        • 如果折旧费用(维护性支出)远小于总的资本支出,那就意味着资本支出中超出维护的部分,很可能就是用于公司扩张和增长的投资。
        • 在这里,折旧只占资本支出的74%,说明有26%的资本支出(100% - 74%)是超过了仅仅维持现有资产的需要,这部分“额外”的支出很可能就是用于公司未来增长的投入,例如购买新设备以提高产量,或建设新厂房以扩展业务。
  3. 资本效率的衡量:

    • “The efficiency of capital expenditures made can be measured by comparing the net balance of fixed assets to revenue over time.” (所进行资本支出的效率可以通过比较固定资产净值与收入的比率随时间的变化来衡量。)
      • 解释: 这个指标(您表格中的 "Net book value /Revenue")衡量了公司为了产生一定量的收入,需要持有多少净值的固定资产。它反映了资产的利用效率。
    • “Over the period analyzed, this ratio declined from 9.5% to 7.8%, indicating improving capital efficiency.” (在分析期间,这个比率从9.5%下降到7.8%,表明资本效率正在提高。)
      • 解释: 比率的下降是一个积极的信号。它意味着公司现在可以用更少的固定资产净值来产生相同甚至更多的收入。
        • 例如,2018年需要9.5美元的净资产才能产生100美元的收入。
        • 到了2022年,只需要7.8美元的净资产就能产生100美元的收入。
      • 这种下降表明公司在管理和利用其固定资产方面变得更加高效,可能是通过更好的设备利用率、更精益的生产流程或技术升级等方式实现。这通常被视为一个正面的趋势。

总而言之,我们不仅仅看资本支出的绝对数字,而是结合折旧、收入等其他财务指标,从更深层次分析公司的投资策略、增长潜力以及资产管理效率。

Working Capital

这段内容和表格共同分析了营运资本 (Working Capital)。营运资本是公司短期资产(如应收账款、存货)减去短期负债(如应付账款)后的余额,它反映了公司日常运营的流动性需求。

  1. 营运资本作为资本投资的第二部分:

    • "The second component of capital investment is the annual change in working capital." (资本投资的第二部分是营运资本的年度变化。)
      • 解释: 这承接了之前关于资本支出的讨论。资本投资不仅包括购买固定资产(资本支出),也包括对营运资本的投资。营运资本的增加意味着公司将更多的现金投入到日常运营中(比如增加了存货或应收账款),这同样是一种资金占用。
  2. 营运资本的周期性和季节性:

    • "Since working capital investment is sensitive to cyclical and seasonal factors, it is often appropriate to analyze working capital balances on a monthly basis. For illustrative purposes, we present a quarterly analysis for our sample company in Exhibit 11." (由于营运资本投资对周期性和季节性因素敏感,因此通常适合按月分析营运资本余额。为便于说明,我们在下表中展示了我们样本公司的季度分析。)
      • 解释: 营运资本的水平会受到商业周期(经济繁荣或衰退)和季节性因素(如零售业在节假日销售旺季前会增加存货)的影响。因此,仅仅看年度数据可能无法捕捉其波动性,更细致的分析(如按月或按季度)能提供更真实的洞察。下表就是为了展示这种季度分析。
  3. 样本公司营运资本的变化趋势:

    • "The company’s investment in working capital grew sharply over the two years analyzed, ballooning (as an annualized percentage of sales) from -2.2% at December 31, 2020 to 18.8% at September 30, 2022." (在分析的两年中,该公司对营运资本的投资急剧增长,从2020年12月31日的-2.2%(年化销售额百分比)飙升至2022年9月30日的18.8%。)

      • 解释: 这是对表格中 "NWC / net sales (annualized)" 这一行的直接解读。从2020年底的负值(-2.2%)到2022年9月的显著正值(18.8%),表明公司需要将更多的资金投入到营运资本中,相对于其销售额而言,这种投入增长迅速。负的营运资本百分比通常意味着公司能够利用其供应商的信用(应付账款高)或高效的存货周转来运营,而不需要大量自有资金。大幅转正并增加则表示资金占用增加。
    • "The increase was primarily attributable to bloated inventory levels, which moderated during the fourth quarter of 2022, albeit at the expense of lower gross margin (37%, compared to 58% in 4Q21)." (这种增长主要归因于膨胀的存货水平,尽管在2022年第四季度有所缓解,但代价是毛利率降低(37%,而2021年第四季度为58%)。)

      • 解释: 文本指出营运资本大幅增加的主要原因是存货过高 (bloated inventory levels)。这在表格中也能看出,Inventory(存货)从2020年12月的$21,892急剧增加到2022年6月的$76,565和9月的$68,663。
      • 2022年第四季度存货有所缓解(降至$58,033),但这是以毛利率下降为代价的。这可能意味着公司为了清库存而降价销售,导致利润率受损(从2021年第四季度的58%下降到2022年第四季度的37%)。这是一个重要的财务健康警示。
  4. 营运资本分析在交易中的作用:

    • "In addition to assessing the incremental working capital requirements over time, the working capital analysis in a QofE report is typically referenced when buyers and sellers are negotiating required working capital balances to be delivered at the closing of a transaction. These negotiations can lead to meaningful changes in the net proceeds received by sellers in transactions." (除了评估随时间变化的增量营运资本需求外,QofE报告中的营运资本分析通常在买卖双方协商交易完成时需交付的营运资本余额时被引用。这些谈判可能导致卖方在交易中获得的净收益发生重大变化。)
      • 解释: 在企业并购(M&A)交易中,买方通常会要求卖方在交割时保留一定水平的营运资本,以确保业务的平稳过渡和持续运营。如果交割时的营运资本低于约定的“目标营运资本”,卖方可能需要从交易价格中扣除差额。反之,如果高于目标,买方可能需要向卖方支付额外款项。因此,营运资本的分析和谈判对交易的最终价格和卖方实际到手资金有重要影响。

下面的表格展示了样本公司在2020年12月至2022年12月期间的季度营运资本构成及其关键比率。

总体而言,这段文字和表格揭示了:

  1. 营运资本是重要的资本投资组成部分,需要精细分析。
  2. 样本公司在2021-2022年期间,其营运资本相对于销售额的占用显著增加,主要原因是存货积压。
  3. 公司在2022年第四季度通过清理存货来改善营运资本状况,但代价是毛利率下降。
  4. 营运资本的分析对于评估公司的流动性健康状况以及在企业并购交易中确定交割价格至关重要。

现金周转周期 (Cash Conversion Cycle, CCC)

我们来深入理解一下“DSO + DIO - DPO”这个公式,它被称为现金周转周期 (Cash Conversion Cycle, CCC)

CCC是一个非常重要的营运资本效率指标,它衡量的是公司从投入资金购买原材料(或商品)到最终收到客户现金所需要的天数。简单来说,它告诉你你的钱在营运过程中被“锁定”了多久。

我们逐一分解:

1. DIO (Days Inventory Outstanding / Days Inventory On Hand) - 存货周转天数

2. DSO (Days Sales Outstanding) - 应收账款周转天数

3. DPO (Days Payables Outstanding) - 应付账款周转天数

4. 现金周转周期 (CCC) = DIO + DSO - DPO

现在我们把它们组合起来:

举个例子:

假设一家公司:

那么它的现金周转周期 (CCC) = 60 + 30 - 45 = 45天

这意味着:

  1. 你先花钱买了原材料或生产了商品,这部分钱被存货锁定了60天。
  2. 60天后,你把商品卖出去了,但还没有立即收到现金,又过了30天(DSO),这30天你的钱被应收账款锁定了。
  3. 但是,你从一开始就不是立刻付钱给供应商的,你拖欠了45天(DPO)。这45天内,你实际上在使用供应商的资金来维持运营,相当于为你自己的现金流争取了时间。

所以,最终你的钱从流出(购买原材料/生产)到流回(收到客户款)的净时间是45天。

CCC的意义:

在您提供的表格中,CCC从2020年12月的27天急剧增加到2022年3月的198天,这主要是由于DIO(存货周转天数)的大幅增加。这意味着公司有很长一段时间里,其现金被大量存货和应收账款占用,并且未能通过延长应付账款来有效缓解这种资金压力,从而导致现金周转效率显著下降,可能对公司的流动性构成挑战。

Dec-20 Mar-21 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 Mar-22 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22
Accounts receivable,net 10,221 10,477 12,796 13,010 17,114 12,968 14,727 14,672 12,413
Inventory 21,892 28,738 34,635 41,558 49,823 64,537 76,565 68,663 58,033
Prepaid expenses & other 2,763 3,824 3,724 3,694 4,623 6,185 6,370 5,244 5,206
Accounts payable (19,316) (18,757) (22,763) (25,950) (29,894) (26,158) (31,889) (19,190) (22,003)
Accrued expenses& other (13,917) (11,349) (13,564) (15,134) (20,673) (19,032) (20,300) (16,719) (33,031)
Taxes payable (2,862) (3,090) (2,489) (1,073) (2,268) (2,736) (2,662) (1,185) (2,389)
Accrued payroll (4,033) (1,572) (3,120) (3,830) (4,819) (1,163) (668) (506) (757)
Net working capital ($5,250) $8,271 $9,219 $12,275 $13,905 $34,601 $42,141 $50,979 $17,473
NWC / net sales (annualized) -2.2% 5.3% 4.1% 5.4% 5.0% 18.9% 16.1% 18.8% 6.2%
Days sales outstanding 16 25 21 21 23 25 20 20 16
Days inventory on hand 85 165 137 157 156 268 222 191 122
Dayspayablesoutstanding 75 88 79 85 89 95 81 52 63
Cash conversion cycle 27 102 79 94 89 198 161 159 75